Diego Caleiro · 2014-11-21 · EA Forum
The yED chart shows Givewell being of the opinion that poverty alleviation is desirable and quite likely the best allocation of resources in 2013. This does not seem to be a controversial claim. There are no other claims about Givewell's opinion in any other year.
Notice also that the arrows in that chart mean only that empirically it has been observed that individuals espousing one yellow opinion frequently change their opinion to one below it. The reverse can also happen, though it is less frequent, and frequenty people spend years, if not decades, within a particular opinion.
Can you give an example of a chart where a bottleneck would occur in a node that is not either the X-risk node, or the transition to the far future node? I would be interested in seeing patterns that escaped my perception, and it is really easy to change the yED graph if you download it.
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